Is there a doctor in the house? No, not you, Ben Carson.
America woke up this morning with a political stomach ache, facing (perhaps for the first time) the distinct possibility that either Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders (or both) could soon be one step away from the presidency. The thought of either man being handed the keys to the front door at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. is sure to make half the country throw up in its mouth. Which half just depends on which man.
Resounding victories for the 69-year-old Trump and 74-year-old Sanders in New Hampshire have clogged the political arteries in the United States, and the few remaining centrists may be on the prowl for an alternative.
Enter Republican-turned-Democrat-turned-Independent Michael Bloomberg?
The former New York City mayor has spent some of his immense fortune on pollsters and consultants to see if he has a shot at winning as a political hybrid. Bloomberg, who’s kept a high profile since leaving office in 2013 thanks to his gun control advocacy, has mostly liberal positions on social issues; but some Republican voters might like him for his hardline stance on keeping U.S. troops in Iraq.
Bloomberg has much working against him, not the least of which are inquisition-worthy ballot rules which conspire against third-party candidates. The political landscape is indeed littered with the corpses of independent hopefuls like John Anderson, Ross Perot, Pat Buchanan, and Ralph Nader. But if the New Hampshire result takes another bite out of Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers and Republican voters continue to send mixed messages, we just might have a second New York City billionaire in the mix.
With New Hampshire in the books, it’s time to reset the odds for all things presidential prior to the South Carolina primaries (Feb. 20 for Republicans and Feb. 27 for Democrats) and Nevada caucuses (Feb. 20 for Democrats and Feb. 23 for Republicans).
2016 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY ODDS
ODDS TO WIN THE SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Donald Trump: 5/6
Ted Cruz: 3/1
Marco Rubio: 7/1
Jeb Bush: 9/1
John Kasich: 20/1
Ben Carson: 30/1
Jim Gilmore: 350/1
ODDS TO WIN THE SOUTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Hillary Clinton: 2/5
Bernie Sanders: 5/2
REPUBLICAN SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY SPREAD
Donald Trump: -12.5 points
DEMOCRATIC SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY SPREAD
Hillary Clinton: -8.5 points
ODDS FORMER NEW YORK CITY MAYOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG ENTERS THE 2016 RACE AS A REPUBLICAN
ODDS FORMER NEW YORK CITY MAYOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG ENTERS THE 2016 RACE AS A DEMOCRAT
ODDS FORMER NEW YORK CITY MAYOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG ENTERS THE 2016 RACE AS AN INDEPENDENT
ODDS ON THE NEXT CANDIDATE TO DROP OUT
Jim Gilmore: 3/2
Ben Carson: 2/1
Hillary Clinton: 60/1
ODDS ON THE PERCENTAGE OF THE AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTE HILLARY CLINTON RECEIVES IN THE SOUTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
ODDS THE WINNER OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY WINS THE PARTY’S NOMINATION
ODDS ANY REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE HAS ENOUGH DELEGATES TO WIN THE NOMINATION ON THE FIRST BALLOT
ODDS THE WINNER OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY WINS THE PARTY’S NOMINATION
ODDS TO WIN THE REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
Donald Trump: 3/1
Marco Rubio: 4/1
Ted Cruz: 5/1
Jeb Bush: 5/1
John Kasich: 15/1
Chris Christie: 40/1
Ben Carson: 100/1
Michael Bloomberg: 100/1
Carly Fiorina: 125/1
Jim Gilmore, Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney and Tom Selleck (field bet): 150/1
ODDS TO WIN THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Hillary Clinton: 5/9
Bernie Sanders: 3/1
Michael Bloomberg: 100/1
ODDS ON WHICH PARTY WILL WIN THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
(Photo credit: Midtown Comics [https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/deed.en], via Wikimedia Commons.)
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