Bayern Munich (-118) vs. Real Madrid (+360), Draw (+297)
Real Madrid travel to take on Bayern Munich on April 12th for the first leg of the Champions League quarter-final. If you watch one quarter-final game, make it this one. The leaders of La Liga face the leaders of the Bundesliga in a game fit for a Champions League final.
Real Madrid started the season in spectacular form, breaking the Spanish record with a 40-game unbeaten run. The streak ended with a loss to Sevilla, which was followed by a loss to Celta Vigo in the Copa del Rey, but they’ve since regained their composure. They’re currently leading Barcelona in La liga by two points and have one game to spare.
Bayern Munich are once again running away with the Bundesliga. They’re 13 points clear of the league with virtually no chance of being caught. They had some worrying moments at the start of the season but everything seems to have fallen into place for the German champions. They slaughtered Arsenal 5-1 in both legs of the Round of 16, winning 10-2 on aggregate.
Real Madrid had an impressive showing as well, winning 3-1 against Porto in both legs. Cristiano Ronaldo has been the Madridistas’ top-scorer in La liga but it’s been Karim Benzema who has been most impressive at the Champions League.
The game will be especially significant for Bayern coach Carlo Ancelotti, who was fired from Real Madrid despite a successful stint at the club. Ancelotti knows the Madrid side well. From 2013 to 2015, he won the Champions League and Copa del Rey with them. Their starting lineup hasn’t changed much since so Ancelotti probably has some insider information that could really come in handy.
Having said all that, I think the bookmakers are being a little too generous to Bayern. Real Madrid are the defending champions and have won the cup twice in the last three years. When it comes to big games, they are remarkably reliable.
Beating Bayern Munich anywhere is a tough ask, and it’s especially difficult at Allianz Arena. But at +360, I think it’s worth taking a chance on Real Madrid.
Pick: Real Madrid (+360)
Photo credit: Jan Solo (flickr) CC BY-SA 2.0 [http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0]
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