The 2012 NFL Draft was supposed to be a smorgasbord of talent, a real can’t-miss crop of players. And, in a way, it has yielded some of the game’s best: Russell Wilson, Josh Norman, Alshon Jeffery, T.Y. Hilton, Bobby Wagner, Lavonte David. Except, all those players were selected in the second round or later. As for the can’t-miss talent at the top of the draft? Well that hasn’t really panned out.
The Washington Redskins essentially mortgaged their future to trade up for the second-overall pick and draft Robert Griffin III. It was a move so ludicrous, you might have expected the Cleveland Browns to make it. But the Browns smartly sat on their no. 3 and no. 22 picks. And while they may have been jealous of RGIII after his electric rookie season, they got the last laugh when the QB’s knees gave out and his career crashed and burned.
Of course, Cleveland wasn’t actually laughing; they were busy dealing with the fallout of their own terrible picks: Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden. But after the Browns hit the reset button and drafted Johnny Manziel, then re-hit the reset button again and cut him, they finally got the arm they were one pick shy of drafting back in 2012.
Welcome to Cleveland, your rightful home, Robert!
Granted, no one knows what Griffin has left to give. He only dressed for one game last year in Washington. But Cleveland is used to instability at quarterback, and at least Griffin is a name that people recognize and can get excited about. The signing of the fifth-year QB doesn’t mean their search is over: given his injury history, they’ll likely still address the position in the draft. But this move gives each party a chance at a fresh start.
So what are the odds it will actually work out for either one? Obviously not good. Barring a Josh Gordon reinstatement, Cleveland has no good receivers and an offensive line full of holes. The chances of Griffin lasting a full season, let alone the duration of his two-year deal, are low.
How low? We address all your quandaries below!
RGIII in Cleveland odds:
Over/under games started at QB by Griffin next season: 5.5
Over/under completion percentage for Griffin next season: 60-percent
Over/under Cleveland Browns wins in 2015: 4.5
Odds that the Cleveland Browns are the last NFL team RGIII plays for: 5/3
(Photo Credit: Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.)
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