AS Roma (+114) vs SS Lazio (+235), Draw (+229)
Lazio aren’t going to look back on this season fondly. The team is a distant eighth in the table (42 points) well back of Serie A’s Champions League and Europa League spots. However, a win in the Rome Derby would be a saving grace in a difficult season. Lazio will look to spoil Roma’s party when the squads meet in the latest edition of the Derby Della Capitale this Sunday at the Stadio Olimpico (8:00 AM Eastern).
Lazio would need a furious comeback to reach a Europa League spot for next season. The Biancazzurro are eighth in the table with 42 points, 13 back of Inter Milan, who currently own the all-important fifth spot. Even if Inter falter, AC Milan (49 points) and Sassuolo (45 points) would have to do the same for Lazio to get to fifth.
The team has been the definition of mediocre all season and that’s continued of late with a 1-2-1 record in the last four. They had a great chance to advance to the quarterfinals of the Europa League, drawing Sparta Prague, 1-1 away, in the first leg of their Round of 16 battle. But then they laid an egg at home, getting shutout 3-0 by Sparta two weeks ago.
AS Roma, unlike Lazio, have had a decent season and are battling for a spot in the Champions League (top-three). Currently third in the table, the Giallorossi are ten points behind the league leaders, Juventus, but their focus will be on staving off fourth-place Fiorentina.
Roma have a five-point lead over Fiore at the moment, but a loss against Lazio in the Derby would allow the Florence-based squad to get within striking distance.
Roma were bounced from the Champions League by Real Madrid in the Round of 16, but they’ve stayed solid in Serie A, going undefeated in their last nine (8-1-0).
The betting trend favor Roma. They’ve dominated the Derby in recent years, winning three of the last five meetings. They haven’t lost to their intracity rival since 2013.
Both teams have issues, but Lazio keeps making the same mistakes. Roma has the better team and should be your play.
Pick: Roma (+114).
(Photo Credit: Mattia Simoncelli (flickr) [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/]. Photo has been cropped.)
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