Perhaps the worst part of betting on the Super Bowl it is difficult to get an edge. So many people are evaluating one game, the spread and total are probably about right. However, with hundreds of prop bets available, there is room for a handicapper to dig in and look closely at niche options. This is where an advantage can be found.
There are wagers being made on everything from the largest lead in the game to what kind of outfit half -time show performer Lady Gaga will wear.
Here’s look at three of our favorites.
Super Bowl L1 Props:
Tom Brady throws an interception: 3/2
This is Super Bowl appearance number six for Brady, and he has thrown a pick in half of those games. He has four total interceptions in six Super Bowls, and three during his last two appearances.
During the three championship games, Brady did not throw a pick and averaged 36 pass attempts. But in those games, he had at least one INT and fired off over 46 passes a game.
While New England’s rushing game isn’t bad, LeGarrette Blount and Dion Lewis have struggled in the playoffs. The three point spread on the game indicates the contest will likely be competitive throughout all four quarters. That means Brady is going to throw a lot and the chances of him making at least one mistake are good.
“Trump” is said under 1.5 times during the Fox broadcast (does not include halftime, pregame, postgame): 10/17
We know that when CBS’s Jim Nance hosts games, the Bush family is discussed on occasion since he is friendly with them. However, why Joe Buck or Troy Aiken would mention President Trump is not clear. Trump is divisive and controversial, and both Fox and the NFL would be smart to stay away. The focus of the broadcast should be the game, and anything that could alter that will be shunned.
Patriots tight end Martellus Bennett said he may not visit the White House if New England wins, and that could prompt one Trump mention. Why there would be more than that, I am not sure.
Largest lead of the game will be under 16.5 points: 20/21
You are paying less than the standard vig to forecast a game that never reaches a three score deficit for either squad. Remember, the point spread is only three. While it is possible a team could lead by 17, the other squad could score two touchdowns and get a push on the spread. But if you believe this will be a fairly tight game, it is unlikely either team will ever have a three possession advantage.
Photo Credit: By Marc Nozell (https://www.flickr.com/photos/marcn/24622320840/) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons
