This Saturday, a skinny Irishman will make his boxing debut in a small, insignificant fight in Las Vegas. Maybe a few people will watch. A couple Dubliners might even bet on it. But it will largely go unnoticed.
When Conor McGregor transitions from MMA fighter to boxer this weekend, more than a few people will watch. There’s a decent chance his fight with Floyd Mayweather will break the boxing record of 4.6 million PPV buys. Don’t go thinking Mayweather vs. McGregor is more than a spectacle, though. It’s a 0-0 boxer facing a guy who is 49-0. It’s professional wrestling. It’s all about the hype, the talk, the promotion. The difference between this fight and the WWE is that, in the end, will probably get something uneventful.
But guess what? You’re still going to watch it, and so am I.
They got us hook, line and sinker because people don’t want to miss something historic. Even though most of us don’t really follow boxing that closely, a spectacle like this pushes our curiosity button; it feeds that “what if” gremlin that lives deep within us all. What if McGregor beats one of the best boxers of all time?
First of all, Las Vegas might go broke!
Until last night, almost all the money was being put on McGregor because novice bettors want a big payday and everyone wants to see something magical. My advice? If you want to see magic in Las Vegas, try these magicians instead. “Mystic Mac” McGregor is not a real magician, but damn is he good at selling the optical illusion that he actually stands a chance.
The brash Irishman talked his way into this fight and you have to give him kudos for doing so. He is going to get paid and can then return to the UFC Octagon a very wealthy man with an even bigger brand.
Back in November 2016, when this fight was just talk, McGregor was a 19/2 (+950) underdog. His odds were as short as 3/1 (+300) a short time ago, but they have moved back to around 4/1 (+400) after some large wagers on Mayweather last night. The UFC champ is still drawing more of the betting action by volume, but the biggest bets are coming in for Mayweather.
While Vegas sportsbooks need to worry about covering their financial bases and protecting their bottom line, we can give you a more accurate view of each man’s chances to win and the likelihood of some interesting side props coming to pass, like McGregor going rogue and shooting for a takedown!
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