Napoli (+165) vs Juventus (+195), Draw (+250)
Napoli and Juventus meet once again on Wednesday, April 5, in the second leg of their Coppa Italia semifinal. Juventus are undefeated against Napoli this season (2-1-0) and enter Wednesday’s match with a 3-1 lead on aggregate.
In the teams’ first game of the season, Juve snapped up a 2-1 victory with Gonzalo Higuaín scoring the winning goal. That was followed by the 3-1 win in late February. Then, just last Wednesday, they drew 1-1 in Serie A play.
Napoli were extremely unlucky not to win in the most recent meeting. They had 17 attempts on goal to Juventus’ four, and they controlled 61-percent of possession. It just so happened that Juve’s one shot on target resulted in a goal.
After a 3-1 loss in the first leg, Napoli will be chasing a two-goal deficit. Thanks to their away goal, a 2-0 win would see them through. But that’s a still a tough ask. The last time Napoli defeated Juventus by a margin of two goals was back in March 2014.
Napoli are a great offensive side and currently lead Serie A in goals scored (69). But they have drawn far too many league games this season, which is why they currently sit third, ten points back of league-leading Juve. While both sides have only four losses on their record, Napoli has seven draws compared to two for Juventus.
Of course, Juve would be more than happy to settle for a draw in Wednesday’s match, and there’s no reason for them to push the pace. A couple of days after the semifinal, they’ll play a league game versus Chievo, and then a couple of days after that, they face Barcelona in the Champions League.
Napoli will be rightfully wary of the Juve attack, but they’ll have to take some risks if they’re going to come back from a 3-1 deficit. Juventus are well on their way to another Serie A title, and from the way things are looking, they’re in great standing for the Coppa Italia as well.
Pick: Draw (+250)
Photo credit: Doha Stadium Plus Qatar (flickr) [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/]
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